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Heavyweight3 Rounds
Tai Tuivasa
#12

Tai Tuivasa

14-8

RED CORNER
VS
Tallison Teixeira
#15

Tallison Teixeira

8-1

BLUE CORNER
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2
February 1, 2026
Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Win Probability

40%Tuivasa
Teixeira60%
Predicted Winner
Tallison Teixeira
Confidence: 58%Method: KO/TKO

Why Tallison Teixeira is Favored

Two heavyweights looking to bounce back after recent setbacks. Tai Tuivasa brings knockout power but is on a brutal 4-fight losing streak and fighting for his UFC career. Tallison Teixeira, the 6'7" Brazilian prospect, showed promise with a 35-second debut win but was stopped quickly by Derrick Lewis. Teixeira's size, youth, and reach advantages make him the favorite, but this is a volatile heavyweight matchup where anything can happen. Tuivasa desperately needs a win here.

Style Matchup Breakdown

Both fighters are knockout artists with poor grappling. Teixeira's massive reach advantage (83" vs 76") is significant. Tuivasa's experience vs Teixeira's youth and size. Both have cardio concerns. Neither likely to attempt takedowns - this stays standing until someone falls.

Key Factors

Tuivasa on 4-fight losing streakTeixeira's significant size advantage (6'7" vs 6'2")Teixeira's 7" reach advantageBoth coming off lossesTuivasa's home crowd advantage in SydneyBoth have concerning chins after recent KO losses

Tai Tuivasa Style

Tallison Teixeira Style

Tai Tuivasa Momentum

Momentum
Cold
Last 5 Fights
1W - 4L
Streak
4L
Hotness Index
30
Decline Index
65

Tallison Teixeira Momentum

Momentum
Hot
Last 5 Fights
4W - 1L
Streak
1L
Hotness Index
75
Decline Index
15

Tai Tuivasa Red Flags

Red Flags
Cardio55%
Damage60%
Post-KO40%
Weight Cut
5%
Cardio
55%
Damage
60%
Age Curve
30%
Ring Rust
10%
Post-KO
40%
Title Fight
5 Rounds
Main Event

Tallison Teixeira Red Flags

Red Flags
Cardio40%
Weight Cut
5%
Cardio
40%
Damage
15%
Age Curve
5%
Ring Rust
5%
Post-KO
25%
Title Fight
5 Rounds
Main Event