Win Probability
Why Benoit Saint Denis is Favored
This is a classic striker vs finisher matchup. Benoit Saint Denis, the 'God of War', brings relentless pressure and a 94% finish rate into this fight. Coming off his 16-second KO of Beneil Dariush, BSD is riding momentum while Hooker is coming off a submission loss to Tsarukyan. Hooker's experience and toughness are legendary, but BSD's power, pressure, and grappling create serious problems. The key question is whether Hooker's chin can survive BSD's early onslaught. If it goes to the later rounds, Hooker's cardio advantage (80% vs 70%) could be a factor.
Style Matchup Breakdown
BSD's pressure (90%) vs Hooker's counter-striking (75%). BSD's submission threat (85%) vs Hooker's grappling defense. Hooker's 8" reach advantage is significant. BSD's cardio concerns (70%) in a potential war. Both fighters are durable but have been finished in recent fights.